江苏省金融发展和产业结构优化关系实证研究.doc

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  • 更新时间:2014-06-23
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摘 要:当代背景下,经济的发展不仅体现在扩大的经济规模和提高的国民收入上,更重要的是体现在经济发展的本质要素上,即经济结构能否随着市场的变化而不断调整,产业结构的优化升级在其中占重要比例。从世界各国的经济发展的事实中,我们可以了解到,产业结构的调整关系到国家的经济发展是否能够稳定协调,这是现代经济发展的关键因素。而金融作为现代经济的核心,它的本质是期货配资和投资的和谐统一,即提供将资金从盈余的部门转向短缺部门的渠道,是一种储蓄向投资的转化。产业结构的调整受到金融资源有效配置的支持和协同发展,所以说,金融对产业结构的调整和升级有着不可替代的作用。

   本文以江苏省为例,着重研究区域经济发展的核心要素(金融发展)和本质要素(产业结构)之间的关系。文章首先对近几年与此课题相关的文献和理论观点进行了概括和总结,简要阐述了金融发展和产业结构优化理论,并分析了二者之间的相互关系。接着对江苏省金融发展和产业结构的现状进行分析,然后以FIR、ISR、DCR为指标,选取向量自回归模型(VAR:Vector Auto-Regression)进行实证分析,分析结果表明产业结构优化指标与金融发展指标具有单向因果关系,且金融发展对产业结构优化的影响并不明显,据此文章根据实证研究结果提出相关政策建议,以此促进金融发展对产业结构优化的影响。

关键词: 金融发展;产业结构优化;实证分析

 

ABSTRACT:In the contemporary context, economic development is not only reflected in the expanding economies of scale and increased national income and, more importantly, it embodies the essential elements of economic development, namely, whether the economic structure can continues to optimize based on market demand, especially for industry structure optimization and upgrading. From the economic development of countries in the world t, we can understand the adjustment of industrial structure related to a country's economic structure optimization and coordination to achieve economic stability and development, which is a key factor in the development of a modern economy. And finance as the core of modern economy, it is the nature of futures with the harmony of financial resources and investment, which provides funds from the surplus sector to the shortage sector channels. It is a transformation of savings into investment. The adjustment of industrial structure is the supported by the efficient allocation of financial resources and joint development, so that the finance for the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure has an irreplaceable role.

   This article takes Jiangsu province as an example, focusing on the core elements of the regional economic development (financial development) and the essential elements of (industrial structure) relationship. The article firstly has been summarized the subject with the relevant literature and theoretical perspectives in recent years, which briefly elaborates the financial development and industrial structure optimization theory, and analyzes the relationship between the two. Then the status quo of financial development and industrial structure in Jiangsu province were analyzed. I select the vector auto regression model (VAR: Vector Auto-Regression) for empirical analysis and the results show that optimization of industrial structure index and financial development indicators with one-way causality and financial development on industry structure optimization is not obvious. Based on empirical findings, we put forward relevant policy recommendations, in order to promote financial development of the industrial structure optimization.

Key words: financial development;industrial structure optimization;the empirical analysis


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