进出口贸易对我国通货膨胀水平的影响.rar

摘要:2010年至今我国对外贸易顺差仍持续增长，外汇储备位列世界前茅。但是目前以食品为代表的结构性通胀困扰着我国经济发展，国际性通货膨胀也越来越剧烈。因此，探求在中国的国情背景下进出口贸易和通货膨胀的关系是很有必要的。本文基于我国目前国情，通过分析货币供给传导机制、国外商品传导机制和成本传导这三种途径如何影响我国通货膨胀水平，从而对我国对外贸易和国内通货膨胀水平关系加深理解。通过以下几条途径为开放经济下我国目前的通货膨胀提出几点建设性意见。

关键词: 对外贸易，通货膨胀，传导机制

Abstract:The foreign trade surplus of China is still increasing since 2010,and the foreign exchange comes out in front .But nowadays to food as the representative of the structural inflation has a bad effect on the development of china's economic ,at the same time the global inflation becomes more and more intense .so it is necessary to explore the relation between import and export trade and the inflation in the Chinese national conditions .so it is necessary to explore the relation between import and export trade and the inflation in the Chinese national conditions.This essay is based on today's Chinese national conditions to study the following three ways such as the mechanism of money supply、the foreign goods, conduction mechanism and the cost of transmission on how to influnce the level of inflation in China ,so that readers will be in a deepen understangding of the relation between foreign trade and the level of inflation .Last but not the least ,here are some constructive suggestions on how to deal with the inflation problem in the open economy condition.

Key Words：Foreign trade，inflation，Transmission mechanism

中国目前的价格监测主要着重于国内市场，而对国际市场的监管预警比较薄弱。在没有实力决定国际价格的情况下，利用对国际商品价格的正确判断来引导进出口策略和国内相关物资的生产储备是一个很有效的抵制通胀输入的措施。价格的上升并非在一夜之间，有其发展的阶段过程，但是一旦发生，调节手段传导到商品价格会有或多或少的时滞。以目前持续上涨的农产品为例，中国的农产品价格预警体系缺位，而农副产品具有先天的生产周期，所以在反通胀中便处于了不利位置。同时，为了保障国家安全和人民生活，对于石油、粮食等重要物资必须进行国家战略储备，从而在发生突发性事件时控制国内物价，减轻国际通胀对我国的冲击。